Causality

Causality #


MindMap

Criteria 📈 Causal Inference 🤖 Causal AI
🎯 Core Goal Estimate treatment or policy effects from data Enable AI to reason, simulate, and plan with causality
🌍 Scope Focused on statistical estimation from real-world data Broad, includes CI + causal reasoning in intelligent agents
🛠️ Methods Matching, IVs, DiD, DAGs, do-calculus SCMs, causal discovery, RL, counterfactuals, representation learning
🗂️ Data EHRs, trials, economic panels — structured/tabular Images, text, sensor logs, simulations — multimodal
🧰 Tools DoWhy, EconML, Stata, Stan, CausalML Pyro, CausalBench, Causal Transformers, RL libraries
🧠 Theory Pearl’s SCMs, Rubin’s Potential Outcomes Extends CI with planning, control theory, generative modeling
🧪 Use Cases Drug effects, A/B testing, public health impact Clinical AI agents, counterfactual explainers, planning under uncertainty
🚀 Trends Automated causal discovery, scalable estimation Causal LLMs, structure-aware agents, causal generalization in foundation models
👥 Audience Statisticians, epidemiologists, applied economists ML/AI engineers, decision scientists, generative modeling researchers
🧭 Philosophy “Understand causes to intervene wisely” “Use causality to empower robust, generalizable, explainable intelligence”
📚 References Elements of Causal Inference: Foundations and Learning Algorithms Jonas Peters, Dominik Janzing, and Bernhard Schölkopf (2017) Causal AI Robert Osazuwa Ness (2025)

🏥 Healthcare-Focused Examples #

Scenario Causal Inference Approach Causal AI Application
Does a drug reduce mortality? Use propensity score matching on EHRs to estimate treatment effect Simulate outcomes, explain counterfactuals, and adapt AI decision policy
Which patients benefit from a treatment? Estimate HTEs using stratification or causal forests Personalized planning agent using causal graphs and reinforcement learning
What if surgery is delayed? Model counterfactuals using SCM or time-series IVs Temporal causal simulation to guide optimal intervention timing